Orioles @ Twins [ Twins -144 / 8 ]

Orioles | 13-21 (38.2%) Dean Kremer (R) | 3-4 | WHIP: 1.38 | ERA: 5.73
Twins | 16-20 (44.4%) Bailey Ober (R) | 4-1 | WHIP: 1.34 | ERA: 3.72

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Orioles
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Twins
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Orioles Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes

Orioles Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/9LAA [ 0 ]TBD (-)BAL -
LAA -		-BAL [ 0 ]TBD (-)
5/8MIN [ 0 ]Bailey Ober (R)BAL +122
MIN -144		8BAL [ 0 ]Dean Kremer (R)
5/7MIN [ 5 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)BAL +116
MIN -136		9BAL [ 2 ]Charlie Morton (R)
5/6MIN [ 9 ]Pablo Lopez (R)BAL +144
MIN -172		9BAL [ 1 ]Cade Povich (L)
5/4BAL [ 6 ]Kyle Gibson (R)BAL -142
KCR +120		9.5KCR [ 11 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)
5/3BAL [ 0 ]Tomoyuki Sugano (R)BAL -110
KCR -105		9KCR [ 4 ]Kris Bubic (L)
5/2BAL [ 3 ]Dean Kremer (R)BAL -130
KCR +120		9.5KCR [ 0 ]Michael Wacha (R)
4/30BAL [ 5 ]Cade Povich (L)BAL -108
NYY +108		9.5NYY [ 4 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)
4/29BAL [ 3 ]Kyle Gibson (R)BAL +146
NYY -174		9.5NYY [ 15 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
4/28BAL [ 4 ]Tomoyuki Sugano (R)BAL +110
NYY -130		9.5NYY [ 3 ]Will Warren (R)
Twins Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/9MIN [ 0 ]TBD (-)MIN -
SFG -		-SFG [ 0 ]Jordan Hicks (R)
5/8MIN [ 0 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -144
BAL +122		8BAL [ 0 ]Dean Kremer (R)
5/7MIN [ 5 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -136
BAL +116		9BAL [ 2 ]Charlie Morton (R)
5/6MIN [ 9 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -172
BAL +144		9BAL [ 1 ]Cade Povich (L)
5/4BOS [ 4 ]Garrett Crochet (L)MIN +166
BOS -198		8.5MIN [ 5 ]Chris Paddack (R)
5/3BOS [ 3 ]Hunter Dobbins (R)MIN -105
BOS -115		9.5MIN [ 4 ]Bailey Ober (R)
5/2BOS [ 6 ]Brayan Bello (R)MIN -120
BOS -116		9MIN [ 1 ]Joe Ryan (R)
5/1CLE [ 4 ]Ben Lively (R)MIN -102
CLE +108		9MIN [ 3 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
4/30CLE [ 4 ]Luis Ortiz (R)MIN -132
CLE -104		7MIN [ 2 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
4/29CLE [ 2 ]Tanner Bibee (R)MIN +110
CLE -130		8MIN [ 1 ]Chris Paddack (R)

Dean Kremer Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/2BAL [ 3 ]KCR [ 0 ]-1309.57213000Michael Wacha (R)
4/27DET [ 7 ]BAL [ 0 ]2007.55.67344055Tarik Skubal (L)
4/22WSN [ 7 ]BAL [ 0 ]-13295.334011256Mitchell Parker (L)
4/16BAL [ 9 ]CLE [ 1 ]-12685.33214111Gavin Williams (R)
4/9ARI [ 9 ]BAL [ 0 ]-10094.67418366Brandon Pfaadt (R)
5.631.461.23.43.6
Bailey Ober Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/3BOS [ 3 ]MIN [ 4 ]-1059.56617011Hunter Dobbins (R)
4/28CLE [ 1 ]MIN [ 11 ]10687.67208011Gavin Williams (R)
4/22MIN [ 4 ]CHW [ 2 ]-2508.56618011Davis Martin (R)
4/15MIN [ 6 ]NYM [ 3 ]-10886.33505233Tylor Megill (R)
4/10KCR [ 3 ]MIN [ 2 ]-1028.56415011Michael Wacha (R)
6.44.60.66.60.41.41.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dean Kremer F52-4-1 (33.3%)1-0-1 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Dean Kremer3-4 (42.9%)2-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)
Bailey Ober F54-1-2 (80%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-2 (100%)
Bailey Ober5-2 (71.4%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dean Kremer F54-2-1 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Dean Kremer3-3-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-1 (50%)
Bailey Ober F54-3-0 (57.1%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Bailey Ober3-4-0 (42.9%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F511-12-1 (47.8%)6-2-1 (75%)0-4-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)4-6-0 (40%)
Orioles vs. RHP11-13 (45.8%)6-3 (66.7%)0-4 (0%)1-0 (100%)4-6 (40%)
Twins vs. RHP F514-9-8 (60.9%)9-3-2 (75%)2-4-2 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-4 (50%)
Twins vs. RHP14-17 (45.2%)8-6 (57.1%)3-5 (37.5%)0-0 (-)2-6 (25%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F516-7-1 (69.6%)8-1-0 (88.9%)2-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)6-3-1 (66.7%)
Orioles vs. RHP12-10-2 (54.5%)6-2-1 (75%)1-3-0 (25%)0-1-0 (0%)5-4-1 (55.6%)
Twins vs. RHP F513-17-1 (43.3%)6-7-1 (46.2%)3-5-0 (37.5%)0-0-0 (-)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Twins vs. RHP10-18-3 (35.7%)4-9-1 (30.8%)3-4-1 (42.9%)0-0-0 (-)2-5-1 (28.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dean Kremer3-4 (42.9%)2-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)
Orioles12-23 (34.3%)5-9 (35.7%)0-5 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)6-7 (46.2%)
Bailey Ober5-1 (83.3%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)3-0 (100%)
Twins19-17 (52.8%)9-7 (56.3%)3-6 (33.3%)0-0 (-)7-4 (63.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dean Kremer4-3 (57.1%)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Orioles18-17 (51.4%)7-7 (50%)4-1 (80%)1-2 (33.3%)6-7 (46.2%)
Bailey Ober5-2 (71.4%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Twins22-15 (59.5%)8-8 (50%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)7-4 (63.6%)


Batting Matchup
OriolesTwins
35TG37
3.8R/G4
43HR32
0.226AVG0.238
18SB20
7CS9
OriolesTwins
0.159ISO0.136
0.268BABIP0.286
0.294OBP0.307
0.384SLG0.374
0.301wOBA0.305
96wRC+96
OriolesTwins
7.7BB%7.6
24.3K%21.5
0.32BB/K0.35
10.3Barrel%8.4
43.7HardHit%42.3
2.2WAR3.3

Pitching Matchup
Dean KremerBailey Ober
7G7
7GS7
37.2IP38.2
5.3IP/G5.5
3W4
4L1
62.5LOB%80.4
Dean KremerBailey Ober
5.26K/97.22
2.15BB/91.86
7.9K/BB%13.9
38.3GB%32.3
42.9FB%43.5
1.67HR/91.16
12.3HR/FB%9.3
Dean KremerBailey Ober
0.286BABIP0.322
5.73ERA3.72
5.21xERA3.52
5.14FIP3.87
4.86xFIP4.17
1.38WHIP1.34
4.84SIERA4.16
0.1WAR0.7

Bullpen Matchup
OriolesTwins
3.54BPU/G3.43
3.7IP/G3.6
4W6
4L11
6SV6
1BS6
70.6LOB%73.7
OriolesTwins
8.93K/99.74
4.22BB/92.98
11.6K/BB%17.8
42.9GB%44.3
36.2FB%37
1.32HR/90.88
13.6HR/FB%9.8
OriolesTwins
0.346BABIP0.287
5.19ERA3.52
4.55FIP3.37
4.18xFIP3.52
1.61WHIP1.19
3.88SIERA3.14
0.2WAR1.8