NBA Betting | themoneyballer.com

10:30 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers

Spurs: 36-17 (67.9%)

Lakers: 32-19 (62.7%)

Line:

Total:

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Back team with rest advantage (2+ days vs. B2B)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Manage Systems

Spurs

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Back late season medium road favorites

Back team with rest advantage (2+ days vs. B2B)

Lakers

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Notable Trends

The Lakers are 83.3% (5-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Lakers are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Lakers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 26.7% (4-11) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Spurs are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

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Lakers (Home)

The Lakers are 55.1% (27-22-2) against the spread

The Lakers are 55% (11-9-2) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 40% (8-12) against the spread as a dog

The Lakers are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Lakers are 54.9% (28-23) to the over/under

The Lakers are 68.2% (15-7) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 60% (12-8) to the over/under as a dog

The Lakers are 83.3% (5-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Lakers are 56.3% (9-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lakers are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Lakers are 43.8% (7-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Lakers are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

Spurs (Away)

The Spurs are 54.9% (28-23-2) against the spread

The Spurs are 55.6% (15-12) against the spread away

The Spurs are 50% (17-17-2) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 39.6% (21-32) to the over/under

The Spurs are 37% (10-17) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 38.9% (14-22) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 46.2% (6-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Spurs are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Spurs are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 26.7% (4-11) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Spurs are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/07/26	2025	Lakers	91	Away	Spurs	107	+8.5	233.5	+16	198
12/10/25	2025	Lakers	119	Home	Spurs	132	-7.5	243.5	+13	251
11/05/25	2025	Lakers	118	Home	Spurs	116	+1.5	228.5	-2	234
03/17/25	2024	Lakers	125	Home	Spurs	109	-8.5	231.5	-16	234
01/13/25	2024	Lakers	102	Home	Spurs	126	-4.5	221.5	+24	228
11/27/24	2024	Lakers	119	Away	Spurs	101	-2.0	228.5	-18	220
11/15/24	2024	Lakers	120	Away	Spurs	115	-2.5	227.5	-5	235
02/23/24	2023	Lakers	123	Home	Spurs	118	-10.0	241.0	-5	241
12/15/23	2023	Lakers	115	Away	Spurs	129	-4.5	236.0	+14	244
12/13/23	2023	Lakers	122	Away	Spurs	119	-3.5	233.0	-3	241
Lakers as Home (5 games)			117.4	-	-	120.2	-5.8	233.2	+2.8	237.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.4	-	-	117.2	-3.3	232.5	+1.8	232.6

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/19/26	2025	Spurs	-	home	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Lakers	-	-8.0	229.5	-	-
02/07/26	2025	Spurs	138	home	Mavericks	125	-11.5	233.5	-13	263
02/05/26	2025	Spurs	135	away	Mavericks	123	-7.5	230.5	-12	258
02/04/26	2025	Spurs	116	home	Thunder	106	-9.5	221.5	-10	222
02/01/26	2025	Spurs	112	home	Magic	103	-4.5	222.5	-9	215
01/31/26	2025	Spurs	106	away	Hornets	111	-4.0	228.0	+5	217
01/28/26	2025	Spurs	111	away	Rockets	99	+2.5	220.5	-12	210
01/25/26	2025	Spurs	95	home	Pelicans	104	-11.5	239.5	+9	199
01/22/26	2025	Spurs	126	away	Jazz	109	-12.5	240.0	-17	235
01/20/26	2025	Spurs	106	away	Rockets	111	+4.5	220.5	+5	217
01/19/26	2025	Spurs	123	home	Jazz	110	-16.5	237.5	-13	233
Away Games Avg (5 games)			116.8	-	-	110.6	-3.4	227.9	-6.2	227.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.8	-	-	110.1	-7.1	229.4	-6.7	226.9

Lakers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/20/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Spurs	-	+8.0	229.5	-	-
02/09/26	2025	Lakers		home	Thunder		+6.5	222.5	0	0
02/07/26	2025	Lakers	105	home	Warriors	99	-2.5	219.5	-6	204
02/05/26	2025	Lakers	119	home	Seventysixers	115	-2.5	236.5	-4	234
02/03/26	2025	Lakers	125	away	Nets	109	-7.5	223.5	-16	234
02/01/26	2025	Lakers	100	away	Knicks	112	+5.5	227.5	+12	212
01/30/26	2025	Lakers	142	away	Wizards	111	-10.5	230.0	-31	253
01/28/26	2025	Lakers	99	away	Cavaliers	129	+3.5	233.5	+30	228
01/26/26	2025	Lakers	129	away	Bulls	118	-1.5	235.5	-11	247
01/24/26	2025	Lakers	116	away	Mavericks	110	-4.0	234.0	-6	226
01/22/26	2025	Lakers	104	away	Clippers	112	+2.5	224.5	+8	216
Home Games Avg (3 games)			74.7	-	-	71.3	+0.5	226.2	-3.3	146.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			103.9	-	-	101.5	-1.1	228.7	-2.4	205.4

10:30 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Spurs

Lakers

Notable Trends

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

Spurs (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Lakers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:30 p.m. San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Spurs

Lakers

Notable Trends

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

Spurs (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Lakers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:30 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Lakers