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Updated: 02/09/26 6:21 p.m.
Thu, 9/4, 8:20 p.m. Isolate
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Cowboys: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East
Eagles: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-04_Eagles_Cowboys
Teams: Eagles (Home) vs Cowboys (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Cowboys
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Eagles

Nothing active

Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/24 2024 Eagles 41 Home Cowboys 7 376 179 197 2 0 -7.5 37.5 -34 48
11/10/24 2024 Eagles 34 Away Cowboys 6 163 97 66 1 4 -7.0 45.0 -28 40
12/10/23 2023 Eagles 13 Away Cowboys 33 409 138 271 0 1 +3.5 52.5 +20 46
11/05/23 2023 Eagles 28 Home Cowboys 23 316 109 207 0 3 -3.0 46.5 -5 51
12/24/22 2022 Eagles 34 Away Cowboys 40 462 115 347 2 1 +3.5 48.0 +6 74
10/16/22 2022 Eagles 26 Home Cowboys 17 291 136 155 3 1 -7.0 42.0 -9 43
Eagles as Home (3 games) 31.7 - - 15.7 328 141 186 1.7 1.3 -5.8 42.0 -16.0 47.3
All Games Avg (6 games) 29.3 - - 21.0 336 129 207 1.3 1.7 -2.9 45.3 -8.3 50.3
Schedules
Cowboys Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Cowboys - away Bears - - - - - - -1.5 50.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Cowboys - home Giants - - - - - - -4.5 44.5 - -
09/04/25 2025 Cowboys - away Eagles - - - - - - +8.5 47.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Cowboys 19 home Commanders 23 394 150 244 0 0 +7.0 43.5 +4 42
12/29/24 2024 Cowboys 7 away Eagles 41 275 127 148 0 2 +7.5 37.5 +34 48
12/22/24 2024 Cowboys 26 home Buccaneers 24 323 31 292 1 0 +6.0 49.0 -2 50
12/15/24 2024 Cowboys 30 away Panthers 14 425 211 214 2 2 +2.5 42.0 -16 44
12/09/24 2024 Cowboys 20 home Bengals 27 339 156 183 1 1 +4.5 51.0 +7 47
11/28/24 2024 Cowboys 27 home Giants 20 317 122 195 1 2 -4.5 39.5 -7 47
11/24/24 2024 Cowboys 34 away Commanders 26 338 91 247 2 3 +10.5 44.5 -8 60
11/18/24 2024 Cowboys 10 home Texans 34 422 64 358 1 3 +7.0 41.0 +24 44
11/10/24 2024 Cowboys 6 home Eagles 34 163 97 66 1 4 +7.0 45.0 +28 40
11/03/24 2024 Cowboys 21 away Falcons 27 385 137 248 0 1 +3.0 52.0 +6 48
Away Games Avg (4 games) 23.0 - - 27.0 356 142 214 1.0 2.0 +5.9 44.0 +4.0 50.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 20.0 - - 27.0 338 119 220 0.9 1.8 +5.1 44.5 +7.0 47.0
Eagles Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Eagles - home Rams - - - - - - -3.5 45.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Eagles - away Chiefs - - - - - - -1.5 46.5 - -
09/04/25 2025 Eagles - home Cowboys - - - - - - -8.5 47.5 - -
02/09/25 2024 Eagles 40 neutral Chiefs 22 356 135 221 2 0 +1.5 48.5 -18 62
01/26/25 2024 Eagles 55 home Commanders 23 475 229 246 1 0 -6.0 46.5 -32 78
01/19/25 2024 Eagles 28 home Rams 22 413 285 128 0 2 -7.0 43.5 -6 50
01/12/25 2024 Eagles 22 home Packers 10 300 169 131 3 0 -5.5 46.5 -12 32
01/05/25 2024 Eagles 20 home Giants 13 320 51 269 1 1 -3.5 35.5 -7 33
12/29/24 2024 Eagles 41 home Cowboys 7 376 179 197 2 0 -7.5 37.5 -34 48
12/22/24 2024 Eagles 33 away Commanders 36 365 211 154 2 2 -4.0 47.0 +3 69
12/15/24 2024 Eagles 27 home Steelers 13 421 131 290 0 2 -5.5 43.0 -14 40
12/08/24 2024 Eagles 22 home Panthers 16 317 209 108 1 1 -14.0 44.5 -6 38
12/01/24 2024 Eagles 24 away Ravens 19 258 140 118 0 2 +3.0 50.0 -5 43
Home Games Avg (7 games) 30.7 - - 14.9 375 179 196 1.1 0.9 -7.0 42.4 -15.9 45.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 31.2 - - 18.1 360 174 186 1.2 1.0 -4.9 44.3 -13.1 49.3
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Fri, 9/5, 8:00 p.m. (Neutral field) Isolate
Kansas City Chiefs / Los Angeles Chargers
Chiefs: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC West
Chargers: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC West
mph
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Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-05_Chargers_Chiefs
Teams: Chargers (Home) vs Chiefs (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Chiefs

Nothing active

Chargers
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/08/24 2024 Chargers 17 Away Chiefs 19 306 96 210 0 0 +4.5 43.0 +2 36
09/29/24 2024 Chargers 10 Home Chiefs 17 234 55 179 1 2 +6.5 42.0 +7 27
01/07/24 2023 Chargers 12 Home Chiefs 13 376 118 258 1 2 -3.0 35.5 +1 25
10/22/23 2023 Chargers 17 Away Chiefs 31 492 68 424 2 1 +5.5 48.0 +14 48
11/20/22 2022 Chargers 27 Home Chiefs 30 395 115 280 0 1 +5.5 52.5 +3 57
09/15/22 2022 Chargers 24 Away Chiefs 27 328 93 235 1 0 +4.0 52.5 +3 51
Chargers as Home (3 games) 16.3 - - 20.0 335 96 239 0.7 1.7 +3.0 43.3 +3.7 36.3
All Games Avg (6 games) 17.8 - - 22.8 355 91 264 0.8 1.0 +3.8 45.6 +5.0 40.7
Schedules
Chiefs Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Chiefs - away Giants - - - - - - -6.0 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Chiefs - home Eagles - - - - - - +1.5 46.5 - -
09/05/25 2025 Chiefs - neutral Chargers - - - - - - -3.0 47.5 - -
02/09/25 2024 Chiefs 22 neutral Eagles 40 306 49 257 1 2 -1.5 48.5 +18 62
01/26/25 2024 Chiefs 32 home Bills 29 380 135 245 0 1 -1.5 49.5 -3 61
01/18/25 2024 Chiefs 23 home Texans 14 227 50 177 0 2 -9.5 41.5 -9 37
01/05/25 2024 Chiefs 0 away Broncos 38 125 27 98 0 2 +10.5 40.5 +38 38
12/25/24 2024 Chiefs 29 away Steelers 10 389 69 320 1 1 -2.0 46.0 -19 39
12/21/24 2024 Chiefs 27 home Texans 19 384 124 260 2 0 -3.5 43.0 -8 46
12/15/24 2024 Chiefs 21 away Browns 7 311 132 179 4 0 -4.5 41.5 -14 28
12/08/24 2024 Chiefs 19 home Chargers 17 306 96 210 0 0 -4.5 43.0 -2 36
11/29/24 2024 Chiefs 19 home Raiders 17 369 63 306 0 1 -13.5 42.0 -2 36
11/24/24 2024 Chiefs 30 away Panthers 27 434 165 269 0 1 -11.0 43.0 -3 57
Away Games Avg (4 games) 20.0 - - 20.5 315 98 217 1.3 1.0 -1.8 42.8 +0.5 40.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.2 - - 21.8 323 91 232 0.8 1.0 -4.1 43.9 -0.4 44.0
Chargers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Chargers - home Broncos - - - - - - -2.5 45.5 - -
09/15/25 2025 Chargers - away Raiders - - - - - - -3.5 46.5 - -
09/05/25 2025 Chargers - neutral Chiefs - - - - - - +3.0 47.5 - -
01/11/25 2024 Chargers 12 away Texans 32 292 50 242 1 1 -3.0 42.5 +20 44
01/05/25 2024 Chargers 34 away Raiders 20 483 137 346 1 1 -7.0 42.5 -14 54
12/28/24 2024 Chargers 40 away Patriots 7 428 147 281 0 0 -6.0 41.5 -33 47
12/19/24 2024 Chargers 34 home Broncos 27 401 117 284 0 1 -3.0 41.5 -7 61
12/15/24 2024 Chargers 17 home Buccaneers 40 231 32 199 1 2 -3.0 46.0 +23 57
12/08/24 2024 Chargers 17 away Chiefs 19 307 94 213 0 1 +4.5 43.0 +2 36
12/01/24 2024 Chargers 17 away Falcons 13 206 56 150 4 2 -1.0 47.0 -4 30
11/25/24 2024 Chargers 23 home Ravens 30 301 83 218 0 1 +3.0 51.0 +7 53
11/17/24 2024 Chargers 34 home Bengals 27 452 155 297 0 1 -1.0 48.0 -7 61
11/10/24 2024 Chargers 27 home Titans 17 309 145 164 0 0 -9.0 40.0 -10 44
Home Games Avg (5 games) 27.0 - - 28.2 339 106 232 0.2 1.0 -2.6 45.3 +1.2 55.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 25.5 - - 23.2 341 102 239 0.7 1.0 -2.6 44.3 -2.3 48.7
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
Bengals: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC North
Browns: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC North
mph
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Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Browns_Bengals
Teams: Browns (Home) vs Bengals (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Bengals

Nothing active

Browns
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 30 - 35 - 3 (46.2%)L365 Days: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)Current Season: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/22/24 2024 Browns 6 Away Bengals 24 368 116 252 2 1 +10.0 46.5 +18 30
10/20/24 2024 Browns 14 Home Bengals 21 354 77 277 0 1 +5.5 42.5 +7 35
01/07/24 2023 Browns 14 Away Bengals 31 359 183 176 2 1 +7.5 37.0 +17 45
09/10/23 2023 Browns 24 Home Bengals 3 360 206 154 0 2 +1.0 46.5 -21 27
12/11/22 2022 Browns 10 Away Bengals 23 375 136 239 1 0 +4.0 47.0 +13 33
10/31/22 2022 Browns 32 Home Bengals 13 450 172 278 1 1 +3.5 45.0 -19 45
Browns as Home (3 games) 23.3 - - 12.3 388 152 236 0.3 1.3 +3.3 44.7 -11.0 35.7
All Games Avg (6 games) 16.7 - - 19.2 378 148 229 1.0 1.0 +5.3 44.1 +2.5 35.8
Schedules
Bengals Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Bengals - away Vikings - - - - - - +3.0 42.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Bengals - home Jaguars - - - - - - -3.5 49.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Bengals - away Browns - - - - - - -4.5 47.5 - -
01/04/25 2024 Bengals 19 away Steelers 17 345 68 277 0 3 -2.5 48.5 -2 36
12/28/24 2024 Bengals 30 home Broncos 24 527 115 412 1 1 -3.5 50.5 -6 54
12/22/24 2024 Bengals 24 home Browns 6 368 116 252 2 1 -10.0 46.5 -18 30
12/15/24 2024 Bengals 37 away Titans 27 372 101 271 4 2 -6.0 46.5 -10 64
12/09/24 2024 Bengals 27 away Cowboys 20 443 74 369 1 1 -4.5 51.0 -7 47
12/01/24 2024 Bengals 38 home Steelers 44 402 93 309 1 2 -3.0 46.0 +6 82
11/17/24 2024 Bengals 27 away Chargers 34 466 110 356 0 0 +1.0 48.0 +7 61
11/07/24 2024 Bengals 34 away Ravens 35 477 49 428 0 3 +6.0 53.0 +1 69
11/03/24 2024 Bengals 41 home Raiders 24 381 130 251 0 0 -8.0 44.5 -17 65
10/27/24 2024 Bengals 17 home Eagles 37 292 58 234 0 3 -3.0 47.5 +20 54
Away Games Avg (5 games) 28.8 - - 26.6 421 80 340 1.0 1.8 -1.2 49.4 -2.2 55.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.4 - - 26.8 407 91 316 0.9 1.6 -3.4 48.2 -2.6 56.2
Browns Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Browns - home Packers - - - - - - +7.5 40.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Browns - away Ravens - - - - - - +12.5 46.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Browns - home Bengals - - - - - - +4.5 47.5 - -
01/04/25 2024 Browns 10 away Ravens 35 239 56 183 0 0 +19.5 42.5 +25 45
12/29/24 2024 Browns 3 home Dolphins 20 284 114 170 0 1 +3.0 32.5 +17 23
12/22/24 2024 Browns 6 away Bengals 24 305 148 157 0 2 +10.0 46.5 +18 30
12/15/24 2024 Browns 7 home Chiefs 21 303 139 164 0 3 +4.5 41.5 +14 28
12/08/24 2024 Browns 14 away Steelers 27 316 104 212 0 2 +6.0 42.5 +13 41
12/02/24 2024 Browns 32 away Broncos 41 574 77 497 2 0 +6.5 41.5 +9 73
11/21/24 2024 Browns 24 home Steelers 19 304 85 219 0 3 +3.5 36.5 -5 43
11/17/24 2024 Browns 14 away Saints 35 461 66 395 1 0 -1.0 44.0 +21 49
11/03/24 2024 Browns 10 home Chargers 27 314 79 235 0 1 +2.0 42.0 +17 37
10/27/24 2024 Browns 29 home Ravens 24 414 80 334 0 1 +7.5 44.5 -5 53
Home Games Avg (5 games) 14.6 - - 22.2 324 99 224 0.0 1.8 +4.1 39.4 +7.6 36.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 14.9 - - 27.3 351 95 257 0.3 1.3 +6.2 41.4 +12.4 42.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
Dolphins: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
Colts: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC South
mph
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Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Colts_Dolphins
Teams: Colts (Home) vs Dolphins (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Dolphins
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Colts

Nothing active

Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/20/24 2024 Colts 16 Home Dolphins 10 284 155 129 0 1 -3.0 44.0 -6 26
Colts as Home (1 games) 16.0 - - 10.0 284 155 129 0.0 1.0 -3.0 44.0 -6.0 26.0
All Games Avg (1 games) 16.0 - - 10.0 284 155 129 0.0 1.0 -3.0 44.0 -6.0 26.0
Schedules
Dolphins Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/18/25 2025 Dolphins - away Bills - - - - - - +11.5 50.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Dolphins - home Patriots - - - - - - -2.5 43.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Dolphins - away Colts - - - - - - +1.5 47.0 - -
01/05/25 2024 Dolphins 20 away Jets 32 362 135 227 1 5 +2.5 39.5 +12 52
12/29/24 2024 Dolphins 20 away Browns 3 299 74 225 1 1 -3.0 32.5 -17 23
12/22/24 2024 Dolphins 29 home Fortyniners 17 381 166 215 1 1 +2.0 44.0 -12 46
12/15/24 2024 Dolphins 12 away Texans 20 248 52 196 0 2 +2.5 46.5 +8 32
12/08/24 2024 Dolphins 32 home Jets 26 375 44 331 0 0 -6.5 45.0 -6 58
11/28/24 2024 Dolphins 17 away Packers 30 404 39 365 0 2 +3.5 47.5 +13 47
11/24/24 2024 Dolphins 34 home Patriots 15 382 65 317 1 1 -7.5 45.5 -19 49
11/17/24 2024 Dolphins 34 home Raiders 19 370 82 288 1 1 -8.0 43.5 -15 53
11/11/24 2024 Dolphins 23 away Rams 15 274 67 207 1 1 +2.5 49.5 -8 38
11/03/24 2024 Dolphins 27 away Bills 30 380 149 231 1 1 +6.5 49.0 +3 57
Away Games Avg (6 games) 19.8 - - 21.7 328 86 242 0.7 2.0 +2.4 44.1 +1.8 41.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 24.8 - - 20.7 348 87 260 0.7 1.5 -0.6 44.3 -4.1 45.5
Colts Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Colts - away Titans - - - - - - -6.0 42.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Colts - home Broncos - - - - - - +1.5 43.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Colts - home Dolphins - - - - - - -1.5 47.0 - -
01/05/25 2024 Colts 26 home Jaguars 23 441 177 264 1 0 -3.5 46.5 -3 49
12/29/24 2024 Colts 33 away Giants 45 456 126 330 0 1 -7.5 40.5 +12 78
12/22/24 2024 Colts 38 home Titans 30 466 335 131 3 0 -4.0 43.0 -8 68
12/15/24 2024 Colts 13 away Broncos 31 321 149 172 3 3 +4.5 44.0 +18 44
12/01/24 2024 Colts 25 away Patriots 24 253 144 109 1 0 -2.5 41.0 -1 49
11/24/24 2024 Colts 6 home Lions 24 268 96 172 0 2 +7.0 50.5 +18 30
11/17/24 2024 Colts 28 away Jets 27 363 91 272 0 2 +4.5 43.0 -1 55
11/10/24 2024 Colts 20 home Bills 30 393 121 272 2 2 +4.5 46.5 +10 50
11/03/24 2024 Colts 13 away Vikings 21 247 68 179 2 1 +6.0 47.0 +8 34
10/27/24 2024 Colts 20 away Texans 23 338 163 175 0 2 +5.0 45.0 +3 43
Home Games Avg (4 games) 22.5 - - 26.8 392 182 210 1.5 1.0 +1.0 46.6 +4.3 49.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.2 - - 27.8 355 147 208 1.2 1.3 +1.4 44.7 +5.6 50.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Giants: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East
Commanders: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC East
mph
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Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Commanders_Giants
Teams: Commanders (Home) vs Giants (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Giants
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Fade home team whose next game is on Thursday Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 23 - 13 - 3 (63.9%)L365 Days: 3 - 5 - 0 (37.5%)Current Season: 3 - 5 - 0 (37.5%)
Week 1: Back road dog when next game is on the road Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)L365 Days: 0 - 2 - 0 (0.0%)Current Season: 0 - 2 - 0 (0.0%)
Commanders
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/03/24 2024 Commanders 27 Away Giants 22 338 164 174 0 1 -4.5 44.5 -5 49
09/15/24 2024 Commanders 21 Home Giants 18 441 215 226 0 0 -1.5 43.0 -3 39
11/19/23 2023 Commanders 19 Home Giants 31 430 174 256 0 4 -7.5 39.0 +12 50
10/22/23 2023 Commanders 7 Away Giants 14 385 106 279 1 3 -3.0 36.5 +7 21
12/18/22 2022 Commanders 12 Home Giants 20 408 159 249 0 4 -4.0 40.5 +8 32
12/04/22 2022 Commanders 20 Away Giants 20 334 134 200 0 2 -2.5 40.0 0 40
Commanders as Home (3 games) 17.3 - - 23.0 426 183 244 0.0 2.7 -4.3 40.8 +5.7 40.3
All Games Avg (6 games) 17.7 - - 20.8 389 159 231 0.2 2.3 -3.8 40.6 +3.2 38.5
Schedules
Giants Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Giants - home Chiefs - - - - - - +6.0 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Giants - away Cowboys - - - - - - +4.5 44.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Giants - away Commanders - - - - - - +6.5 45.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Giants 13 away Eagles 20 238 100 138 0 1 +3.5 35.5 +7 33
12/29/24 2024 Giants 45 home Colts 33 389 80 309 2 1 +7.5 40.5 -12 78
12/22/24 2024 Giants 7 away Falcons 34 255 45 210 1 1 +9.5 43.0 +27 41
12/15/24 2024 Giants 14 home Ravens 35 246 55 191 0 0 +16.5 43.5 +21 49
12/08/24 2024 Giants 11 home Saints 14 339 112 227 1 0 +4.5 40.5 +3 25
11/28/24 2024 Giants 20 away Cowboys 27 294 116 178 0 2 +4.5 39.5 +7 47
11/24/24 2024 Giants 7 home Buccaneers 30 268 76 192 0 2 +6.0 40.5 +23 37
11/10/24 2024 Giants 17 neutral Panthers 20 357 167 190 0 2 -7.0 40.0 +3 37
11/03/24 2024 Giants 22 home Commanders 27 338 164 174 0 1 +4.5 44.5 +5 49
10/28/24 2024 Giants 18 away Steelers 26 421 157 264 0 1 +5.5 36.5 +8 44
Away Games Avg (4 games) 14.5 - - 26.8 302 105 198 0.3 1.3 +5.8 38.6 +12.3 41.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 17.4 - - 26.6 315 107 207 0.4 1.1 +5.5 40.4 +9.2 44.0
Commanders Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Commanders - home Raiders - - - - - - -3.0 43.5 - -
09/11/25 2025 Commanders - away Packers - - - - - - +3.0 48.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Commanders - home Giants - - - - - - -6.5 45.5 - -
01/26/25 2024 Commanders 23 away Eagles 55 377 99 278 0 3 +6.0 46.5 +32 78
01/18/25 2024 Commanders 45 away Lions 31 481 182 299 4 1 +8.5 55.5 -14 76
01/12/25 2024 Commanders 23 away Buccaneers 20 350 82 268 0 0 +3.0 51.5 -3 43
01/05/25 2024 Commanders 23 away Cowboys 19 312 113 199 0 1 -7.0 43.5 -4 42
12/29/24 2024 Commanders 30 home Falcons 24 443 216 227 1 1 -3.5 46.5 -6 54
12/22/24 2024 Commanders 36 home Eagles 33 371 113 258 1 3 +4.0 47.0 -3 69
12/15/24 2024 Commanders 20 away Saints 19 363 137 226 1 1 -7.5 44.5 -1 39
12/01/24 2024 Commanders 42 home Titans 19 473 267 206 0 1 -6.0 45.5 -23 61
11/24/24 2024 Commanders 26 home Cowboys 34 420 145 275 0 2 -10.5 44.5 +8 60
11/14/24 2024 Commanders 18 away Eagles 26 284 93 191 0 1 +4.5 49.5 +8 44
Home Games Avg (4 games) 33.5 - - 27.5 427 185 242 0.5 1.8 -4.0 45.9 -6.0 61.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 28.6 - - 28.0 387 145 243 0.7 1.4 -0.9 47.5 -0.6 56.6
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Buccaneers: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC South
Falcons: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC South
mph
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Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Falcons_Buccaneers
Teams: Falcons (Home) vs Buccaneers (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Buccaneers

Nothing active

Falcons
Baller System(s)
Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 30 - 35 - 3 (46.2%)L365 Days: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)Current Season: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)
Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 43 - 20 - 1 (68.3%)L365 Days: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)Current Season: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/27/24 2024 Falcons 31 Away Buccaneers 26 432 102 330 0 2 -1.5 47.5 -5 57
10/03/24 2024 Falcons 36 Home Buccaneers 30 582 73 509 0 1 -2.5 44.0 -6 66
12/10/23 2023 Falcons 25 Home Buccaneers 29 443 96 347 0 4 -1.5 41.5 +4 54
10/22/23 2023 Falcons 16 Away Buccaneers 13 348 73 275 0 2 +3.0 37.5 -3 29
01/08/23 2022 Falcons 30 Home Buccaneers 17 398 174 224 0 1 -6.0 40.5 -13 47
10/09/22 2022 Falcons 15 Away Buccaneers 21 420 69 351 0 0 +10.0 46.0 +6 36
Falcons as Home (3 games) 30.3 - - 25.3 474 114 360 0.0 2.0 -3.3 42.0 -5.0 55.7
All Games Avg (6 games) 25.5 - - 22.7 437 98 339 0.0 1.7 +0.3 42.8 -2.8 48.2
Schedules
Buccaneers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Buccaneers - home Jets - - - - - - -6.5 43.5 - -
09/15/25 2025 Buccaneers - away Texans - - - - - - +2.5 42.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Buccaneers - away Falcons - - - - - - -1.5 47.5 - -
01/12/25 2024 Buccaneers 20 home Commanders 23 286 101 185 0 1 -3.0 51.5 +3 43
01/05/25 2024 Buccaneers 27 home Saints 19 400 179 221 0 1 -14.5 44.5 -8 46
12/29/24 2024 Buccaneers 48 home Panthers 14 561 202 359 0 0 -9.5 47.5 -34 62
12/22/24 2024 Buccaneers 24 away Cowboys 26 437 134 303 0 3 -6.0 49.0 +2 50
12/15/24 2024 Buccaneers 40 away Chargers 17 511 223 288 1 1 +3.0 46.0 -23 57
12/08/24 2024 Buccaneers 28 home Raiders 13 447 152 295 1 2 -7.0 47.0 -15 41
12/01/24 2024 Buccaneers 26 away Panthers 23 476 236 240 0 2 -7.0 46.0 -3 49
11/24/24 2024 Buccaneers 30 away Giants 7 450 156 294 0 4 -6.0 40.5 -23 37
11/10/24 2024 Buccaneers 20 home Fortyniners 23 226 110 116 0 3 +6.5 50.5 +3 43
11/04/24 2024 Buccaneers 24 away Chiefs 30 295 95 200 0 0 +9.0 45.5 +6 54
Away Games Avg (5 games) 28.8 - - 20.6 434 169 265 0.2 2.0 -1.4 45.4 -8.2 49.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 28.7 - - 19.5 409 159 250 0.2 1.7 -3.5 46.8 -9.2 48.2
Falcons Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Falcons - away Panthers - - - - - - -4.5 44.0 - -
09/14/25 2025 Falcons - away Vikings - - - - - - +3.5 44.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Falcons - home Buccaneers - - - - - - +1.5 47.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Falcons 38 home Panthers 44 539 227 312 0 0 -7.5 48.5 +6 82
12/29/24 2024 Falcons 24 away Commanders 30 349 126 223 1 3 +3.5 46.5 +6 54
12/22/24 2024 Falcons 34 home Giants 7 329 127 202 2 0 -9.5 43.0 -27 41
12/16/24 2024 Falcons 15 away Raiders 9 280 168 112 2 1 -6.5 44.5 -6 24
12/08/24 2024 Falcons 21 away Vikings 42 502 158 344 0 1 +6.0 46.5 +21 63
12/01/24 2024 Falcons 13 home Chargers 17 361 116 245 0 1 +1.0 47.0 +4 30
11/17/24 2024 Falcons 6 away Broncos 38 247 50 197 0 1 +2.0 44.5 +32 44
11/10/24 2024 Falcons 17 away Saints 20 487 181 306 0 2 -3.5 46.5 +3 37
11/03/24 2024 Falcons 27 home Cowboys 21 322 100 222 0 3 -3.0 52.0 -6 48
10/27/24 2024 Falcons 31 away Buccaneers 26 405 129 276 2 1 -1.5 47.5 -5 57
Home Games Avg (4 games) 28.0 - - 22.3 388 143 245 0.5 1.0 -4.8 47.6 -5.8 50.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.6 - - 25.4 382 138 244 0.7 1.3 -1.9 46.7 +2.8 48.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Carolina Panthers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Panthers: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC South
Jaguars: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC South
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Bet Management
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Game ID: 2025-09-07_Jaguars_Panthers
Teams: Jaguars (Home) vs Panthers (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Panthers
Baller System(s)
Week 1: Back road dog when next game is on the road Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)L365 Days: 0 - 2 - 0 (0.0%)Current Season: 0 - 2 - 0 (0.0%)
Jaguars

Nothing active

Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/23 2023 Jaguars 26 Home Panthers 0 333 155 178 1 0 -3.5 38.5 -26 26
Jaguars as Home (1 games) 26.0 - - 0.0 333 155 178 1.0 0.0 -3.5 38.5 -26.0 26.0
All Games Avg (1 games) 26.0 - - 0.0 333 155 178 1.0 0.0 -3.5 38.5 -26.0 26.0
Schedules
Panthers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Panthers - home Falcons - - - - - - +4.5 44.0 - -
09/14/25 2025 Panthers - away Cardinals - - - - - - +7.0 45.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Panthers - away Jaguars - - - - - - +4.5 45.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Panthers 44 away Falcons 38 425 155 270 1 1 +7.5 48.5 -6 82
12/29/24 2024 Panthers 14 away Buccaneers 48 242 39 203 0 2 +9.5 47.5 +34 62
12/22/24 2024 Panthers 36 home Cardinals 30 401 243 158 1 0 +5.5 47.0 -6 66
12/15/24 2024 Panthers 14 home Cowboys 30 279 60 219 0 2 -2.5 42.0 +16 44
12/08/24 2024 Panthers 16 away Eagles 22 309 118 191 0 0 +14.0 44.5 +6 38
12/01/24 2024 Panthers 23 home Buccaneers 26 376 78 298 2 1 +7.0 46.0 +3 49
11/24/24 2024 Panthers 27 home Chiefs 30 348 85 263 0 1 +11.0 43.0 +3 57
11/10/24 2024 Panthers 20 neutral Giants 17 314 188 126 2 2 +7.0 40.0 -3 37
11/03/24 2024 Panthers 23 home Saints 22 251 80 171 0 0 +7.0 43.0 -1 45
10/27/24 2024 Panthers 14 away Broncos 28 293 69 224 0 0 +13.0 40.5 +14 42
Away Games Avg (4 games) 22.0 - - 34.0 317 95 222 0.3 0.8 +11.0 45.3 +12.0 56.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 23.1 - - 29.1 324 112 212 0.6 0.9 +7.9 44.2 +6.0 52.2
Jaguars Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Jaguars - home Texans - - - - - - -1.5 42.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Jaguars - away Bengals - - - - - - +3.5 49.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Jaguars - home Panthers - - - - - - -4.5 45.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Jaguars 23 away Colts 26 338 113 225 0 1 +3.5 46.5 +3 49
12/29/24 2024 Jaguars 20 home Titans 13 296 122 174 1 0 +1.0 38.5 -7 33
12/22/24 2024 Jaguars 14 away Raiders 19 319 72 247 0 3 +2.0 42.0 +5 33
12/15/24 2024 Jaguars 25 home Jets 32 430 136 294 0 1 +3.5 41.5 +7 57
12/08/24 2024 Jaguars 10 away Titans 6 291 71 220 0 0 +3.0 40.0 -4 16
12/01/24 2024 Jaguars 20 home Texans 23 373 97 276 0 1 +3.5 44.5 +3 43
11/17/24 2024 Jaguars 6 away Lions 52 179 41 138 0 0 +14.0 47.5 +46 58
11/10/24 2024 Jaguars 7 home Vikings 12 167 56 111 3 1 +7.0 42.5 +5 19
11/03/24 2024 Jaguars 23 away Eagles 28 229 60 169 0 1 +7.5 46.0 +5 51
10/27/24 2024 Jaguars 27 home Packers 30 399 91 308 1 2 +3.5 49.0 +3 57
Home Games Avg (5 games) 19.8 - - 22.0 333 100 233 1.0 1.0 +3.7 43.2 +2.2 41.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 17.5 - - 24.1 302 86 216 0.5 1.0 +4.9 43.8 +6.6 41.6
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Jets
Steelers: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC North
Jets: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
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Bet Management
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Game ID: 2025-09-07_Jets_Steelers
Teams: Jets (Home) vs Steelers (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Steelers

Nothing active

Jets
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/20/24 2024 Jets 15 Away Steelers 37 413 149 264 2 0 -3.0 40.0 +22 52
10/02/22 2022 Jets 24 Away Steelers 20 323 119 204 2 2 +3.5 41.5 -4 44
All Games Avg (2 games) 19.5 - - 28.5 368 134 234 2.0 1.0 +0.3 40.8 +9.0 48.0
Schedules
Steelers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Steelers - away Patriots - - - - - - -1.5 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Steelers - home Seahawks - - - - - - -3.5 40.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Steelers - away Jets - - - - - - -3.0 38.0 - -
01/11/25 2024 Steelers 14 away Ravens 28 299 29 270 0 0 +9.5 44.5 +14 42
01/04/25 2024 Steelers 17 home Bengals 19 222 74 148 1 2 +2.5 48.5 +2 36
12/25/24 2024 Steelers 10 home Chiefs 29 407 202 205 0 2 +2.0 46.0 +19 39
12/21/24 2024 Steelers 17 away Ravens 34 334 117 217 1 2 +7.0 44.0 +17 51
12/15/24 2024 Steelers 13 away Eagles 27 184 56 128 0 2 +5.5 43.0 +14 40
12/08/24 2024 Steelers 27 home Browns 14 278 120 158 2 1 -6.0 42.5 -13 41
12/01/24 2024 Steelers 44 away Bengals 38 524 110 414 1 1 +3.0 46.0 -6 82
11/21/24 2024 Steelers 19 away Browns 24 390 120 270 1 2 -3.5 36.5 +5 43
11/17/24 2024 Steelers 18 home Ravens 16 327 122 205 1 0 +3.0 48.0 -2 34
11/10/24 2024 Steelers 28 away Commanders 27 335 140 195 0 1 +1.5 45.0 -1 55
Away Games Avg (6 games) 22.5 - - 29.7 344 95 249 0.5 1.3 +3.8 43.2 +7.2 52.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 20.7 - - 25.6 330 109 221 0.7 1.3 +2.5 44.4 +4.9 46.3
Jets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Jets - away Buccaneers - - - - - - +6.5 43.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Jets - home Bills - - - - - - +6.0 47.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Jets - home Steelers - - - - - - +3.0 38.0 - -
01/05/25 2024 Jets 32 home Dolphins 20 392 118 274 2 1 -2.5 39.5 -12 52
12/29/24 2024 Jets 14 away Bills 40 307 112 195 0 2 +10.0 44.0 +26 54
12/22/24 2024 Jets 9 home Rams 19 331 75 256 1 2 +3.0 47.0 +10 28
12/15/24 2024 Jets 32 away Jaguars 25 414 125 289 2 0 -3.5 41.5 -7 57
12/08/24 2024 Jets 26 away Dolphins 32 422 83 339 0 0 +6.5 45.0 +6 58
12/01/24 2024 Jets 21 home Seahawks 26 274 89 185 0 2 -1.5 41.5 +5 47
11/17/24 2024 Jets 27 home Colts 28 275 91 184 0 1 -4.5 43.0 +1 55
11/10/24 2024 Jets 6 away Cardinals 31 230 79 151 0 1 -2.0 46.0 +25 37
10/31/24 2024 Jets 21 home Texans 13 311 100 211 0 2 -2.5 43.5 -8 34
10/27/24 2024 Jets 22 away Patriots 25 345 112 233 0 2 -7.0 41.5 +3 47
Home Games Avg (5 games) 22.0 - - 21.2 317 95 222 0.6 1.6 -1.6 42.9 -0.8 43.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.0 - - 25.9 330 98 232 0.5 1.3 -0.4 43.3 +4.9 46.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
Raiders: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC West
Patriots: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
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Bet Management
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Game ID: 2025-09-07_Patriots_Raiders
Teams: Patriots (Home) vs Raiders (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Raiders
Situational Factor(s)
West Coast team traveling East
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 41 - 31 - 1 (56.9%)L365 Days: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)Current Season: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)
Patriots
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/15/23 2023 Patriots 17 Away Raiders 21 348 84 264 1 0 +3.0 41.5 +4 38
12/18/22 2022 Patriots 24 Away Raiders 30 328 97 231 0 2 +2.5 45.0 +6 54
All Games Avg (2 games) 20.5 - - 25.5 338 91 248 0.5 1.0 +2.8 43.3 +5.0 46.0
Schedules
Raiders Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Raiders - away Commanders - - - - - - +3.0 43.5 - -
09/15/25 2025 Raiders - home Chargers - - - - - - +3.5 46.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Raiders - away Patriots - - - - - - +2.5 44.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Raiders 20 home Chargers 34 264 39 225 0 0 +7.0 42.5 +14 54
12/29/24 2024 Raiders 25 away Saints 10 398 156 242 2 0 -2.0 37.5 -15 35
12/22/24 2024 Raiders 19 home Jaguars 14 326 69 257 0 0 -2.0 42.0 -5 33
12/16/24 2024 Raiders 9 home Falcons 15 273 65 208 1 1 +6.5 44.5 +6 24
12/08/24 2024 Raiders 13 away Buccaneers 28 296 91 205 2 2 +7.0 47.0 +15 41
11/29/24 2024 Raiders 17 away Chiefs 19 456 116 340 0 2 +13.5 42.0 +2 36
11/24/24 2024 Raiders 19 home Broncos 29 397 69 328 0 2 +6.0 41.5 +10 48
11/17/24 2024 Raiders 19 away Dolphins 34 342 60 282 0 0 +8.0 43.5 +15 53
11/03/24 2024 Raiders 24 away Bengals 41 258 60 198 1 2 +8.0 44.5 +17 65
10/27/24 2024 Raiders 20 home Chiefs 27 242 33 209 1 1 +9.0 43.0 +7 47
Away Games Avg (5 games) 19.6 - - 26.4 350 97 253 1.0 1.2 +6.9 42.9 +6.8 46.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 18.5 - - 25.1 325 76 249 0.7 1.0 +6.1 42.8 +6.6 43.6
Patriots Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Patriots - home Steelers - - - - - - +1.5 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Patriots - away Dolphins - - - - - - +2.5 43.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Patriots - home Raiders - - - - - - -2.5 44.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Patriots 23 home Bills 16 318 77 241 0 1 +3.0 36.5 -7 39
12/28/24 2024 Patriots 7 home Chargers 40 211 96 115 0 1 +6.0 41.5 +33 47
12/22/24 2024 Patriots 21 away Bills 24 387 126 261 1 4 +14.0 48.0 +3 45
12/15/24 2024 Patriots 17 away Cardinals 30 318 116 202 0 3 +6.0 46.5 +13 47
12/01/24 2024 Patriots 24 home Colts 25 438 200 238 2 2 +2.5 41.0 +1 49
11/24/24 2024 Patriots 15 away Dolphins 34 308 86 222 0 1 +7.5 45.5 +19 49
11/17/24 2024 Patriots 22 home Rams 28 407 125 282 0 2 +4.0 42.0 +6 50
11/10/24 2024 Patriots 19 away Bears 3 328 144 184 0 2 -6.5 37.5 -16 22
11/03/24 2024 Patriots 17 away Titans 20 316 110 206 1 2 +3.0 38.5 +3 37
10/27/24 2024 Patriots 25 home Jets 22 267 112 155 0 2 +7.0 41.5 -3 47
Home Games Avg (5 games) 20.2 - - 26.2 328 122 206 0.4 1.6 +4.5 40.5 +6.0 46.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 19.0 - - 24.2 330 119 211 0.4 2.0 +4.7 41.9 +5.2 43.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 1:00 p.m. Isolate
Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints
Cardinals: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC West
Saints: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC South
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Bet Management
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Game ID: 2025-09-07_Saints_Cardinals
Teams: Saints (Home) vs Cardinals (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
No active systems for this matchup.
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/20/22 2022 Saints 34 Away Cardinals 42 341 137 204 3 2 +2.5 44.0 +8 76
All Games Avg (1 games) 34.0 - - 42.0 341 137 204 3.0 2.0 +2.5 44.0 +8.0 76.0
Schedules
Cardinals Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Cardinals - away Fortyniners - - - - - - +1.5 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Cardinals - home Panthers - - - - - - -7.0 45.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Cardinals - away Saints - - - - - - -5.5 44.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Cardinals 47 home Fortyniners 24 393 151 242 2 1 -5.5 43.5 -23 71
12/28/24 2024 Cardinals 9 away Rams 13 434 113 321 0 0 +6.5 48.0 +4 22
12/22/24 2024 Cardinals 30 away Panthers 36 408 206 202 0 1 -5.5 47.0 +6 66
12/15/24 2024 Cardinals 30 home Patriots 17 395 163 232 1 2 -6.0 46.5 -13 47
12/08/24 2024 Cardinals 18 home Seahawks 30 380 121 259 0 1 -3.0 45.5 +12 48
12/01/24 2024 Cardinals 22 away Vikings 23 414 154 260 0 1 +3.5 45.5 +1 45
11/24/24 2024 Cardinals 6 away Seahawks 16 334 49 285 1 0 -1.0 47.0 +10 22
11/10/24 2024 Cardinals 31 home Jets 6 413 147 266 0 1 +2.0 46.0 -25 37
11/03/24 2024 Cardinals 29 home Bears 9 367 213 154 0 2 -1.5 44.5 -20 38
10/27/24 2024 Cardinals 28 away Dolphins 27 389 82 307 0 1 +5.0 46.5 -1 55
Away Games Avg (5 games) 19.0 - - 23.0 396 121 275 0.2 0.6 +1.7 46.8 +4.0 42.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 25.0 - - 20.1 393 140 253 0.4 1.0 -0.6 46.0 -4.9 45.1
Saints Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Saints - away Seahawks - - - - - - +7.5 41.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Saints - home Fortyniners - - - - - - +3.0 40.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Saints - home Cardinals - - - - - - +5.5 44.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Saints 19 away Buccaneers 27 304 64 240 1 0 +14.5 44.5 +8 46
12/29/24 2024 Saints 10 home Raiders 25 299 81 218 0 2 +2.0 37.5 +15 35
12/23/24 2024 Saints 0 away Packers 34 220 67 153 0 2 +14.5 44.0 +34 34
12/15/24 2024 Saints 19 home Commanders 20 274 69 205 0 0 +7.5 44.5 +1 39
12/08/24 2024 Saints 14 away Giants 11 311 92 219 1 2 -4.5 40.5 -3 25
12/01/24 2024 Saints 14 home Rams 21 327 143 184 0 0 +2.5 48.5 +7 35
11/17/24 2024 Saints 35 home Browns 14 480 214 266 0 2 +1.0 44.0 -21 49
11/10/24 2024 Saints 20 home Falcons 17 365 96 269 1 1 +3.5 46.5 -3 37
11/03/24 2024 Saints 22 away Panthers 23 433 197 236 1 0 -7.0 43.0 +1 45
10/27/24 2024 Saints 8 away Chargers 26 398 117 281 0 0 +7.5 41.0 +18 34
Home Games Avg (5 games) 19.6 - - 19.4 349 121 228 0.2 1.0 +3.3 44.2 -0.2 39.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 16.1 - - 21.8 341 114 227 0.4 0.9 +4.2 43.4 +5.7 37.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 4:05 p.m. Isolate
Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos
Titans: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC South
Broncos: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC West
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Bet Management
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Game ID: 2025-09-07_Broncos_Titans
Teams: Broncos (Home) vs Titans (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
No active systems for this matchup.
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/13/22 2022 Broncos 10 Away Titans 17 318 63 255 1 2 +2.5 39.0 +7 27
All Games Avg (1 games) 10.0 - - 17.0 318 63 255 1.0 2.0 +2.5 39.0 +7.0 27.0
Schedules
Titans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Titans - home Colts - - - - - - +6.0 42.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Titans - home Rams - - - - - - +5.5 41.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Titans - away Broncos - - - - - - +8.5 42.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Titans 14 home Texans 23 330 85 245 0 2 -2.5 36.5 +9 37
12/29/24 2024 Titans 13 away Jaguars 20 352 159 193 0 2 -1.0 38.5 +7 33
12/22/24 2024 Titans 30 away Colts 38 317 65 252 1 0 +4.0 43.0 +8 68
12/15/24 2024 Titans 27 home Bengals 37 381 83 298 2 2 +6.0 46.5 +10 64
12/08/24 2024 Titans 6 home Jaguars 10 294 126 168 2 1 -3.0 40.0 +4 16
12/01/24 2024 Titans 19 away Commanders 42 247 35 212 1 3 +6.0 45.5 +23 61
11/24/24 2024 Titans 32 away Texans 27 410 132 278 2 3 +8.0 41.0 -5 59
11/17/24 2024 Titans 13 home Vikings 23 328 33 295 0 0 +6.0 40.0 +10 36
11/10/24 2024 Titans 17 away Chargers 27 307 132 175 0 1 +9.0 40.0 +10 44
11/03/24 2024 Titans 20 home Patriots 17 407 167 240 2 3 -3.0 38.5 -3 37
Away Games Avg (5 games) 22.2 - - 30.8 327 105 222 0.8 1.8 +5.2 41.6 +8.6 53.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 19.1 - - 26.4 337 102 236 1.0 1.7 +3.0 41.0 +7.3 45.5
Broncos Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Broncos - away Chargers - - - - - - +2.5 45.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Broncos - away Colts - - - - - - -1.5 43.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Broncos - home Titans - - - - - - -8.5 42.5 - -
01/12/25 2024 Broncos 7 away Bills 31 238 79 159 0 0 +7.5 49.5 +24 38
01/05/25 2024 Broncos 38 home Chiefs 0 479 158 321 0 0 -10.5 40.5 -38 38
12/28/24 2024 Broncos 24 away Bengals 30 342 123 219 0 2 +3.5 50.5 +6 54
12/19/24 2024 Broncos 27 away Chargers 34 373 110 263 1 1 +3.0 41.5 +7 61
12/15/24 2024 Broncos 31 home Colts 13 202 72 130 2 0 -4.5 44.0 -18 44
12/02/24 2024 Broncos 41 home Browns 32 400 106 294 3 0 -6.5 41.5 -9 73
11/24/24 2024 Broncos 29 away Raiders 19 336 63 273 1 0 -6.0 41.5 -10 48
11/17/24 2024 Broncos 38 home Falcons 6 412 105 307 1 1 -2.0 44.5 -32 44
11/10/24 2024 Broncos 14 away Chiefs 16 293 78 215 0 1 +7.5 42.5 +2 30
11/03/24 2024 Broncos 10 away Ravens 41 347 122 225 0 0 +9.0 46.5 +31 51
Home Games Avg (4 games) 37.0 - - 12.8 373 110 263 1.5 0.3 -5.9 42.6 -24.3 49.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 25.9 - - 22.2 342 102 241 0.8 0.5 +0.1 44.3 -3.7 48.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 4:05 p.m. Isolate
San Francisco Fortyniners @ Seattle Seahawks
Fortyniners: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC West
Seahawks: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC West
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Seahawks_Fortyniners
Teams: Seahawks (Home) vs Fortyniners (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Fortyniners

Nothing active

Seahawks
Baller System(s)
Back divisional home dogs when opponent next game is a division game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 30 - 35 - 3 (46.2%)L365 Days: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)Current Season: 4 - 7 - 0 (36.4%)
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/17/24 2024 Seahawks 20 Away Fortyniners 17 290 131 159 1 0 +6.0 48.5 -3 37
10/10/24 2024 Seahawks 24 Home Fortyniners 36 364 52 312 0 2 +4.0 49.0 +12 60
12/10/23 2023 Seahawks 16 Away Fortyniners 28 541 173 368 2 1 +14.5 44.5 +12 44
11/23/23 2023 Seahawks 13 Home Fortyniners 31 268 88 180 1 1 +7.0 43.0 +18 44
01/14/23 2022 Seahawks 23 Away Fortyniners 41 513 181 332 1 0 +9.5 42.0 +18 64
12/15/22 2022 Seahawks 13 Home Fortyniners 21 308 70 238 0 2 +3.0 42.5 +8 34
09/18/22 2022 Seahawks 7 Away Fortyniners 27 373 189 184 2 2 +8.5 39.5 +20 34
Seahawks as Home (3 games) 16.7 - - 29.3 313 70 243 0.3 1.7 +4.7 44.8 +12.7 46.0
All Games Avg (7 games) 16.6 - - 28.7 380 126 253 1.0 1.1 +7.5 44.1 +12.1 45.3
Schedules
Fortyniners Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Fortyniners - home Cardinals - - - - - - -1.5 44.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Fortyniners - away Saints - - - - - - -3.0 40.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Fortyniners - away Seahawks - - - - - - -2.5 43.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Fortyniners 24 away Cardinals 47 464 138 326 0 3 +5.5 43.5 +23 71
12/30/24 2024 Fortyniners 34 home Lions 40 487 75 412 0 2 +4.0 50.5 +6 74
12/22/24 2024 Fortyniners 17 away Dolphins 29 394 81 313 0 0 -2.0 44.0 +12 46
12/12/24 2024 Fortyniners 6 home Rams 12 205 63 142 0 0 -3.0 48.5 +6 18
12/08/24 2024 Fortyniners 38 home Bears 13 456 131 325 0 0 -3.0 43.5 -25 51
12/01/24 2024 Fortyniners 10 away Bills 35 247 153 94 0 3 +6.5 45.5 +25 45
11/24/24 2024 Fortyniners 10 away Packers 38 243 44 199 0 5 +6.5 44.5 +28 48
11/17/24 2024 Fortyniners 17 home Seahawks 20 290 131 159 1 0 -6.0 48.5 +3 37
11/10/24 2024 Fortyniners 23 away Buccaneers 20 428 75 353 0 2 -6.5 50.5 -3 43
10/27/24 2024 Fortyniners 30 home Cowboys 24 483 223 260 2 1 -5.5 47.5 -6 54
Away Games Avg (5 games) 16.8 - - 33.8 355 98 257 0.0 2.6 +2.0 45.6 +17.0 50.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 20.9 - - 27.8 370 111 258 0.3 1.6 -0.4 46.7 +6.9 48.7
Seahawks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Seahawks - home Saints - - - - - - -7.5 41.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Seahawks - away Steelers - - - - - - +3.5 40.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Seahawks - home Fortyniners - - - - - - +2.5 43.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Seahawks 30 away Rams 25 317 126 191 1 0 -7.5 38.5 -5 55
12/26/24 2024 Seahawks 6 away Bears 3 282 122 160 1 3 -4.5 43.0 -3 9
12/22/24 2024 Seahawks 24 home Vikings 27 373 59 314 0 0 +2.5 43.0 +3 51
12/15/24 2024 Seahawks 13 home Packers 30 253 80 173 0 0 +3.0 48.5 +17 43
12/08/24 2024 Seahawks 30 away Cardinals 18 409 176 233 2 1 +3.0 45.5 -12 48
12/01/24 2024 Seahawks 26 away Jets 21 290 84 206 1 3 +1.5 41.5 -5 47
11/24/24 2024 Seahawks 16 home Cardinals 6 319 65 254 1 1 +1.0 47.0 -10 22
11/17/24 2024 Seahawks 20 away Fortyniners 17 315 94 221 1 1 +6.0 48.5 -3 37
11/03/24 2024 Seahawks 20 home Rams 26 470 107 363 1 2 +2.5 48.5 +6 46
10/27/24 2024 Seahawks 10 home Bills 31 244 32 212 1 3 +3.0 45.5 +21 41
Home Games Avg (5 games) 16.6 - - 24.0 332 69 263 0.6 1.2 +2.4 46.5 +7.4 40.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 19.5 - - 20.4 327 95 233 0.9 1.4 +1.1 45.0 +0.9 39.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 4:25 p.m. Isolate
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Lions: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North
Packers: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Packers_Lions
Teams: Packers (Home) vs Lions (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Lions
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Fade home team whose next game is on Thursday Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 23 - 13 - 3 (63.9%)L365 Days: 3 - 5 - 0 (37.5%)Current Season: 3 - 5 - 0 (37.5%)
Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 41 - 31 - 1 (56.9%)L365 Days: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)Current Season: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)
Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 43 - 20 - 1 (68.3%)L365 Days: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)Current Season: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)
Packers
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/05/24 2024 Packers 31 Away Lions 34 394 111 283 0 0 +3.0 53.0 +3 65
11/03/24 2024 Packers 14 Home Lions 24 411 138 273 0 3 +3.0 48.0 +10 38
11/23/23 2023 Packers 29 Away Lions 22 472 140 332 0 3 +8.5 47.0 -7 51
09/28/23 2023 Packers 20 Home Lions 34 273 27 246 1 2 +2.5 45.0 +14 54
01/08/23 2022 Packers 16 Home Lions 20 308 103 205 0 1 -4.0 48.0 +4 36
11/06/22 2022 Packers 9 Away Lions 15 254 117 137 3 0 -4.0 49.5 +6 24
Packers as Home (3 games) 16.7 - - 26.0 331 89 241 0.3 2.0 +0.5 47.0 +9.3 42.7
All Games Avg (6 games) 19.8 - - 24.8 352 106 246 0.7 1.5 +1.5 48.4 +5.0 44.7
Schedules
Lions Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/22/25 2025 Lions - away Ravens - - - - - - +4.5 53.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Lions - home Bears - - - - - - -6.5 46.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Lions - away Packers - - - - - - +1.5 48.0 - -
01/18/25 2024 Lions 31 home Commanders 45 537 201 336 0 1 -8.5 55.5 +14 76
01/05/25 2024 Lions 31 home Vikings 9 409 178 231 0 0 -3.0 56.5 -22 40
12/30/24 2024 Lions 40 away Fortyniners 34 455 152 303 2 0 -4.0 50.5 -6 74
12/22/24 2024 Lions 34 away Bears 17 482 146 336 0 0 -7.0 47.5 -17 51
12/15/24 2024 Lions 42 home Bills 48 542 48 494 0 2 -2.5 55.5 +6 90
12/05/24 2024 Lions 34 home Packers 31 394 111 283 0 0 -3.0 53.0 -3 65
11/28/24 2024 Lions 23 home Bears 20 415 194 221 0 2 -9.5 47.5 -3 43
11/24/24 2024 Lions 24 away Colts 6 406 137 269 0 1 -7.0 50.5 -18 30
11/17/24 2024 Lions 52 home Jaguars 6 645 196 449 1 0 -14.0 47.5 -46 58
11/10/24 2024 Lions 26 away Texans 23 345 105 240 2 1 -4.5 49.5 -3 49
Away Games Avg (4 games) 31.0 - - 20.0 422 135 287 1.0 0.5 -5.6 49.5 -11.0 51.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 33.7 - - 23.9 463 147 316 0.5 0.7 -6.3 51.4 -9.8 57.6
Packers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Packers - away Browns - - - - - - -7.5 40.5 - -
09/11/25 2025 Packers - home Commanders - - - - - - -3.0 48.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Packers - home Lions - - - - - - -1.5 48.0 - -
01/12/25 2024 Packers 10 away Eagles 22 319 107 212 0 3 +5.5 46.5 +12 32
01/05/25 2024 Packers 22 home Bears 24 388 183 205 1 4 -10.0 41.5 +2 46
12/29/24 2024 Packers 25 away Vikings 27 289 104 185 1 2 -1.0 49.5 +2 52
12/23/24 2024 Packers 34 home Saints 0 404 188 216 1 0 -14.5 44.0 -34 34
12/15/24 2024 Packers 30 away Seahawks 13 369 140 229 2 2 -3.0 48.5 -17 43
12/05/24 2024 Packers 31 away Lions 34 305 99 206 1 1 +3.0 53.0 +3 65
11/28/24 2024 Packers 30 home Dolphins 17 388 114 274 0 0 -3.5 47.5 -13 47
11/24/24 2024 Packers 38 home Fortyniners 10 332 169 163 1 0 -6.5 44.5 -28 48
11/17/24 2024 Packers 20 away Bears 19 367 106 261 0 0 -6.0 41.0 -1 39
11/03/24 2024 Packers 14 home Lions 24 411 138 273 0 3 +3.0 48.0 +10 38
Home Games Avg (5 games) 27.6 - - 15.0 385 158 226 0.6 1.4 -6.3 45.1 -12.6 42.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 25.4 - - 19.0 357 135 222 0.7 1.5 -3.3 46.4 -6.4 44.4
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 4:25 p.m. Isolate
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Rams
Texans: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC South
Rams: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC West
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Rams_Texans
Teams: Rams (Home) vs Texans (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
No active systems for this matchup.
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules
Texans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Texans - away Jaguars - - - - - - +1.5 42.5 - -
09/15/25 2025 Texans - home Buccaneers - - - - - - -2.5 42.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Texans - away Rams - - - - - - +3.0 43.0 - -
01/18/25 2024 Texans 14 away Chiefs 23 394 149 245 0 1 +9.5 41.5 +9 37
01/11/25 2024 Texans 32 home Chargers 12 450 168 282 4 3 +3.0 42.5 -20 44
01/05/25 2024 Texans 23 away Titans 14 385 207 178 0 2 +2.5 36.5 -9 37
12/25/24 2024 Texans 2 home Ravens 31 248 58 190 0 1 +6.5 47.5 +29 33
12/21/24 2024 Texans 19 away Chiefs 27 328 84 244 0 1 +3.5 43.0 +8 46
12/15/24 2024 Texans 20 home Dolphins 12 208 77 131 3 2 -2.5 46.5 -8 32
12/01/24 2024 Texans 23 away Jaguars 20 350 108 242 1 0 -3.5 44.5 -3 43
11/24/24 2024 Texans 27 home Titans 32 287 40 247 1 0 -8.0 41.0 +5 59
11/18/24 2024 Texans 34 away Cowboys 10 398 141 257 1 0 -7.0 41.0 -24 44
11/10/24 2024 Texans 23 home Lions 26 288 56 232 5 1 +4.5 49.5 +3 49
Away Games Avg (5 games) 22.6 - - 18.8 371 138 233 0.4 0.8 +1.0 41.3 -3.8 41.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.7 - - 20.7 334 109 225 1.5 1.1 +0.9 43.4 -1.0 42.4
Rams Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Rams - away Eagles - - - - - - +3.5 45.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Rams - away Titans - - - - - - -5.5 41.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Rams - home Texans - - - - - - -3.0 43.0 - -
01/19/25 2024 Rams 22 away Eagles 28 435 111 324 0 3 +7.0 43.5 +6 50
01/13/25 2024 Rams 27 neutral Vikings 9 299 90 209 1 0 +2.5 47.5 -18 36
01/05/25 2024 Rams 25 home Seahawks 30 418 84 334 0 0 +7.5 38.5 +5 55
12/28/24 2024 Rams 13 home Cardinals 9 257 68 189 2 0 -6.5 48.0 -4 22
12/22/24 2024 Rams 19 away Jets 9 242 132 110 0 0 -3.0 47.0 -10 28
12/12/24 2024 Rams 12 away Fortyniners 6 302 142 160 1 0 +3.0 48.5 -6 18
12/08/24 2024 Rams 44 home Bills 42 457 137 320 0 0 +3.5 49.5 -2 86
12/01/24 2024 Rams 21 away Saints 14 339 156 183 0 0 -2.5 48.5 -7 35
11/24/24 2024 Rams 20 home Eagles 37 335 92 243 0 4 +2.5 48.5 +17 57
11/17/24 2024 Rams 28 away Patriots 22 402 107 295 1 0 -4.0 42.0 -6 50
Home Games Avg (4 games) 25.5 - - 29.5 367 95 272 0.5 1.0 +1.8 46.1 +4.0 55.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 23.1 - - 20.6 349 112 237 0.5 0.7 +1.0 46.2 -2.5 43.7
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 9/7, 8:20 p.m. Isolate
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Ravens: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC North
Bills: 0-0 (0.0%) - AFC East
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-07_Bills_Ravens
Teams: Bills (Home) vs Ravens (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Ravens
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Unders system: playoff rematch Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 28 - 37 - 0 (43.1%)L365 Days: 6 - 7 - 0 (46.2%)Current Season: 6 - 7 - 0 (46.2%)
Bills
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/19/25 2024 Bills 27 Home Ravens 25 274 147 127 1 0 +1.5 51.5 -2 52
09/29/24 2024 Bills 10 Away Ravens 35 428 271 157 0 2 +3.0 47.5 +25 45
10/02/22 2022 Bills 23 Away Ravens 20 306 162 144 1 0 -3.5 50.5 -3 43
Bills as Home (1 games) 27.0 - - 25.0 274 147 127 1.0 0.0 +1.5 51.5 -2.0 52.0
All Games Avg (3 games) 20.0 - - 26.7 336 193 143 0.7 0.7 +0.3 49.8 +6.7 46.7
Schedules
Ravens Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/22/25 2025 Ravens - home Lions - - - - - - -4.5 53.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Ravens - home Browns - - - - - - -12.5 46.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Ravens - away Bills - - - - - - -1.5 51.5 - -
01/19/25 2024 Ravens 25 away Bills 27 430 176 254 0 3 -1.5 51.5 +2 52
01/11/25 2024 Ravens 28 home Steelers 14 474 299 175 0 1 -9.5 44.5 -14 42
01/04/25 2024 Ravens 35 home Browns 10 437 220 217 2 0 -19.5 42.5 -25 45
12/25/24 2024 Ravens 31 away Texans 2 435 251 184 1 0 -6.5 47.5 -29 33
12/21/24 2024 Ravens 34 home Steelers 17 427 220 207 1 3 -7.0 44.0 -17 51
12/15/24 2024 Ravens 35 away Giants 14 460 170 290 1 1 -16.5 43.5 -21 49
12/01/24 2024 Ravens 19 home Eagles 24 403 166 237 0 3 -3.0 50.0 +5 43
11/25/24 2024 Ravens 30 away Chargers 23 389 212 177 0 0 -3.0 51.0 -7 53
11/17/24 2024 Ravens 16 away Steelers 18 331 124 207 1 2 -3.0 48.0 +2 34
11/07/24 2024 Ravens 35 home Bengals 34 389 99 290 0 0 -6.0 53.0 -1 69
Away Games Avg (5 games) 27.4 - - 16.8 409 187 222 0.6 1.2 -6.1 48.3 -10.6 44.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 28.8 - - 18.3 418 194 224 0.6 1.3 -7.6 47.6 -10.5 47.1
Bills Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/18/25 2025 Bills - home Dolphins - - - - - - -11.5 50.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Bills - away Jets - - - - - - -6.0 47.5 - -
09/07/25 2025 Bills - home Ravens - - - - - - +1.5 51.5 - -
01/26/25 2024 Bills 29 away Chiefs 32 384 147 237 0 4 +1.5 49.5 +3 61
01/19/25 2024 Bills 27 home Ravens 25 274 147 127 1 0 +1.5 51.5 -2 52
01/12/25 2024 Bills 31 home Broncos 7 482 210 272 0 0 -7.5 49.5 -24 38
01/05/25 2024 Bills 16 away Patriots 23 259 130 129 0 1 -3.0 36.5 +7 39
12/29/24 2024 Bills 40 home Jets 14 348 97 251 2 0 -10.0 44.0 -26 54
12/22/24 2024 Bills 24 home Patriots 21 326 172 154 1 2 -14.0 48.0 -3 45
12/15/24 2024 Bills 48 away Lions 42 559 197 362 0 0 +2.5 55.5 -6 90
12/08/24 2024 Bills 42 away Rams 44 445 103 342 0 0 -3.5 49.5 +2 86
12/01/24 2024 Bills 35 home Fortyniners 10 365 220 145 0 0 -6.5 45.5 -25 45
11/17/24 2024 Bills 30 home Chiefs 21 366 104 262 2 0 -2.5 47.0 -9 51
Home Games Avg (6 games) 31.2 - - 16.3 360 158 202 1.0 0.3 -6.5 47.6 -14.8 47.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 32.2 - - 23.9 381 153 228 0.6 0.7 -4.2 47.7 -8.3 56.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Mon, 9/8, 8:15 p.m. Isolate
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Vikings: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North
Bears: 0-0 (0.0%) - NFC North
mph
°F
Bet Management
Loading existing bets...
Game ID: 2025-09-08_Bears_Vikings
Teams: Bears (Home) vs Vikings (Away)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
No algorithm data available for this game.
Notes
Vikings
Baller System(s)
Back early season short, road underdogs who won last matchup Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 41 - 31 - 1 (56.9%)L365 Days: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)Current Season: 6 - 9 - 0 (40.0%)
Back divisional dog who won previous 2 head-to-head matchups Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 43 - 20 - 1 (68.3%)L365 Days: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)Current Season: 6 - 5 - 0 (54.6%)
Bears
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Manage Systems
Notable Trends
Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/16/24 2024 Bears 12 Away Vikings 30 345 114 231 0 0 +7.0 44.0 +18 42
11/24/24 2024 Bears 27 Home Vikings 30 418 78 340 0 2 +3.0 39.5 +3 57
11/27/23 2023 Bears 12 Away Vikings 10 258 73 185 0 2 +3.0 43.5 -2 22
10/15/23 2023 Bears 13 Home Vikings 19 303 162 141 0 2 +3.0 44.5 +6 32
01/08/23 2022 Bears 13 Home Vikings 29 265 118 147 1 0 +6.5 43.0 +16 42
10/09/22 2022 Bears 22 Away Vikings 29 436 117 319 0 1 +7.5 44.0 +7 51
Bears as Home (3 games) 17.7 - - 26.0 329 119 209 0.3 1.3 +4.2 42.3 +8.3 43.7
All Games Avg (6 games) 16.5 - - 24.5 338 110 227 0.2 1.2 +5.0 43.1 +8.0 41.0
Schedules
Vikings Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Vikings - home Bengals - - - - - - -3.0 42.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Vikings - home Falcons - - - - - - -3.5 44.5 - -
09/08/25 2025 Vikings - away Bears - - - - - - +1.0 43.5 - -
01/13/25 2024 Vikings 9 neutral Rams 27 351 106 245 0 2 -2.5 47.5 +18 36
01/05/25 2024 Vikings 9 away Lions 31 286 120 166 2 0 +3.0 56.5 +22 40
12/29/24 2024 Vikings 27 home Packers 25 446 69 377 0 1 +1.0 49.5 -2 52
12/22/24 2024 Vikings 27 away Seahawks 24 327 81 246 2 1 -2.5 43.0 -3 51
12/16/24 2024 Vikings 30 home Bears 12 345 114 231 0 0 -7.0 44.0 -18 42
12/08/24 2024 Vikings 42 home Falcons 21 462 115 347 2 0 -6.0 46.5 -21 63
12/01/24 2024 Vikings 23 home Cardinals 22 303 68 235 2 2 -3.5 45.5 -1 45
11/24/24 2024 Vikings 30 away Bears 27 468 124 344 0 1 -3.0 39.5 -3 57
11/17/24 2024 Vikings 23 away Titans 13 328 82 246 1 2 -6.0 40.0 -10 36
11/10/24 2024 Vikings 12 away Jaguars 7 410 169 241 2 0 -7.0 42.5 -5 19
Away Games Avg (5 games) 20.2 - - 20.4 364 115 249 1.4 0.8 -3.1 44.3 +0.2 40.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 23.2 - - 20.9 373 105 268 1.1 0.9 -3.4 45.5 -2.3 44.1
Bears Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/21/25 2025 Bears - home Cowboys - - - - - - +1.5 50.5 - -
09/14/25 2025 Bears - away Lions - - - - - - +6.5 46.5 - -
09/08/25 2025 Bears - home Vikings - - - - - - -1.0 43.5 - -
01/05/25 2024 Bears 24 away Packers 22 231 83 148 0 2 +10.0 41.5 -2 46
12/26/24 2024 Bears 3 home Seahawks 6 225 103 122 0 2 +4.5 43.0 +3 9
12/22/24 2024 Bears 17 home Lions 34 393 59 334 0 3 +7.0 47.5 +17 51
12/16/24 2024 Bears 12 away Vikings 30 309 113 196 1 1 +7.0 44.0 +18 42
12/08/24 2024 Bears 13 away Fortyniners 38 208 68 140 1 1 +3.0 43.5 +25 51
11/28/24 2024 Bears 20 away Lions 23 334 78 256 0 0 +9.5 47.5 +3 43
11/24/24 2024 Bears 27 home Vikings 30 418 78 340 0 2 +3.0 39.5 +3 57
11/17/24 2024 Bears 19 home Packers 20 410 179 231 1 0 +6.0 41.0 +1 39
11/10/24 2024 Bears 3 home Patriots 19 193 73 120 1 0 -6.5 37.5 +16 22
11/03/24 2024 Bears 9 away Cardinals 29 286 69 217 0 1 +1.5 44.5 +20 38
Home Games Avg (5 games) 13.8 - - 21.8 328 98 229 0.4 1.4 +2.8 41.7 +8.0 35.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 14.7 - - 25.1 301 90 210 0.4 1.2 +4.5 43.0 +10.4 39.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load


NFL Season Algorithm Performance Analysis

Note: Today's games are excluded from performance analysis
Showing performance data for: From: September 4, 2025 To: February 9, 2026
Today's games are excluded to show only completed game results


Performance by Algorithm

AlgorithmHigh ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow ConfidenceTotal
Win%RecordUnitsWin%RecordUnitsWin%RecordUnitsWin%RecordUnits
Cover: ATS Analysis (ID: 22)61.8%21-13+12.22------61.8%21-13+12.22
Cover: Basic Stats (ID: 14)---55%55-45+5.05---55%55-45+5.05
Cover: DVOA ZScores (ID: 11)58.3%35-25+13.70------58.3%35-25+13.70
Cover: Luck Regression (ID: 19)70%7-3+6.74------70%7-3+6.74
OVERALL60.6%63-41+32.6655%55-45+5.05---57.8%118-86+37.71


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