NBA Betting | themoneyballer.com

9:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns

Mavericks: 19-33 (36.5%)

Suns: 31-22 (58.5%)

Line:

Total:

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Spread Net Units

Neutral

Total Net Units

Neutral

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

1st game of a back-to-back

Manage Systems

Mavericks

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Suns

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

1st game of a back-to-back

Notable Trends

The Suns are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Suns are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Suns are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Suns (Home)

The Suns are 64.2% (34-19) against the spread

The Suns are 65.4% (17-9) against the spread at home

The Suns are 65.4% (17-9) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread as a home fav

The Suns are 41.5% (22-31) to the over/under

The Suns are 30.8% (8-18) to the over/under at home

The Suns are 34.6% (9-17) to the over/under as a fav

The Suns are 31.3% (5-11) to the over/under as a home fav

The Suns are 50% (8-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Suns are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Suns are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Suns are 37.5% (6-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Suns are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Suns are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Suns are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Mavericks (Away)

The Mavericks are 46.2% (24-28-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 38.1% (8-13-1) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 52.8% (19-17-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 46.7% (7-8-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 43.4% (23-30) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 36.4% (8-14) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 48.6% (18-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 43.8% (7-9) to the over/under as an away dog

The Mavericks are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/12/25	2025	Suns	123	Away	Mavericks	114	-2.0	227.5	-9	237
03/09/25	2024	Suns	125	Away	Mavericks	116	-6.5	229.0	-9	241
12/27/24	2024	Suns	89	Home	Mavericks	98	0.0	223.5	+9	187
11/08/24	2024	Suns	114	Away	Mavericks	113	+3.0	232.5	-1	227
10/26/24	2024	Suns	114	Home	Mavericks	102	+4.0	229.5	-12	216
02/22/24	2023	Suns	113	Away	Mavericks	123	+2.5	245.0	+10	236
01/24/24	2023	Suns	132	Away	Mavericks	109	-2.5	240.5	-23	241
12/25/23	2023	Suns	114	Home	Mavericks	128	-4.5	242.0	+14	242
03/05/23	2022	Suns	130	Away	Mavericks	126	-2.0	234.0	-4	256
01/26/23	2022	Suns	95	Home	Mavericks	99	-1.0	221.0	+4	194
Suns as Home (4 games)			103.0	-	-	106.8	-0.4	229.0	+3.8	209.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.9	-	-	112.8	-0.9	232.5	-2.1	227.7

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Suns	-	+7.5	227.0	-	-
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	107	away	Rockets	111	+10.5	222.5	+4	218
01/29/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Hornets	123	+3.5	225.5	+2	244
01/28/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Timberwolves	118	+8.5	229.5	+13	223
01/25/26	2025	Mavericks	0	away	Bucks	0	+2.5	219.5	0	0
01/24/26	2025	Mavericks	110	home	Lakers	116	+4.0	234.0	+6	226
01/22/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Warriors	115	+6.5	234.5	-8	238
01/19/26	2025	Mavericks	114	away	Knicks	97	+12.5	231.5	-17	211
Away Games Avg (4 games)			86.5	-	-	86.5	+9.3	226.8	0.0	173.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			102.8	-	-	106.3	+7.5	228.5	+3.5	209.1

Suns Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/19/26	2025	Suns	-	away	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/10/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Mavericks	-	-7.5	227.0	-	-
02/07/26	2025	Suns	103	home	Seventysixers	109	-2.5	224.5	+6	212
02/05/26	2025	Suns	97	home	Warriors	101	-5.5	212.5	+4	198
02/03/26	2025	Suns	130	away	Trailblazers	125	-2.5	218.5	-5	255
02/01/26	2025	Suns	93	home	Clippers	117	-2.5	209.5	+24	210
01/30/26	2025	Suns	126	home	Cavaliers	113	+2.0	222.0	-13	239
01/29/26	2025	Suns	114	home	Pistons	96	+3.5	214.5	-18	210
01/27/26	2025	Suns	106	home	Nets	102	-7.5	210.5	-4	208
01/25/26	2025	Suns	102	home	Heat	111	-4.5	225.5	+9	213
01/23/26	2025	Suns	103	away	Hawks	110	-3.0	233.5	+7	213
01/20/26	2025	Suns	116	away	Seventysixers	110	-2.5	222.5	-6	226
Home Games Avg (7 games)			105.9	-	-	107.0	-2.4	217.0	+1.1	212.9
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.0	-	-	109.4	-2.5	219.4	+0.4	218.4

9:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Mavericks

Suns

Notable Trends

View All Records

Suns (Home)

Mavericks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Suns Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:00 p.m. Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Spread Net Units

Total Net Units

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

Manage Systems

Mavericks

Suns

Notable Trends

View All Records

Suns (Home)

Mavericks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Suns Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns